NH-ARG daily tracking poll thread

[Mr. Morden]

I can’t access ARG’s website, but according to 538’s database, their latest poll of NH (conducted Feb. 2-3) is:

Dems

Sanders 54%
Clinton 38%

GOP

Trump 34%
Rubio 14%
Kasich 13%
Cruz 12%
Bush 8%
Christie 6%
Carson 2%
Fiorina 2%

[Mr. Morden]

[Mr. Morden]

Again, I can’t access ARG’s website, but according to RCP, today’s update (Feb. 4-5) is:

link

Trump 34%
Kasich 17%
Rubio 16%
Cruz 9%
Bush 8%
Christie 5%
Carson 2%
Fiorina 2%

[Mr. Morden]

If Rubio doesn't at least finish first in NH among the "establishment" candidates, the post-NH media narrative will be pretty disastrous for him.  As I said in my thread on this, his #1 priority should be driving Bush/Christie/Kasich out of the race as soon as possible.  Heck, Rubio finishing behind Kasich might also encourage Bush to stick it out longer, on the theory that the "establishment lane" is now a muddle, so maybe he still has time for a comeback.

[Mr. Morden]

Today’s update (Feb. 5-6):

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/arg-23697
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/arg-23696

Dems

Sanders 53%
Clinton 42%

GOP

Trump 31%
Kasich 17%
Rubio 17%
Bush 9%
Cruz 9%
Christie 5%
Fiorina 2%
Carson 1%

[Mr. Morden]

ARG ended up the most accurate poll on the GOP side in New Hampshire.  Was one of the worst on the Dem. side though.