IA-Bloomberg/DMR/Selzer: Cruz 25% Trump 22% Rubio 12% Carson 11% Paul 5% Bush 4%

[Mr. Morden]

Bloomberg/DMR/Selzer poll of Iowa:

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-01-13/bloomberg-politics-des-moines-register-iowa-poll-january-2016

[Mr. Morden]

Fav/unfav % among Republican caucusgoers:

Cruz 76/19% for +57%
Rubio 73/21% for +52%
Carson 73/22% for +51%
Fiorina 58/28% for +30%
Huckabee 59/33% for +26%
Santorum 52/34% for +18%
Trump 54/45% for +9%
Christie 51/42% for +9%
Paul 45/43% for +2%
Bush 47/50% for -3%
Kasich 28/43% for -15%

[Mr. Morden]

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[Mr. Morden]

Wow even the anti-TRUMP DMR is showing him with the momentum now!!

Anti? Seriously this is getting ridiculous. I guess that they are anti-bush and anti-gilmore too since neither lead in their polls. Seriously.

The DMR has been very anti-TRUMP in their reporting and editorials this campaign.

Yes, and so they bribed Ann Selzer to skew her polls, just to make him look bad, right?

[Mr. Morden]

Wow even the anti-TRUMP DMR is showing him with the momentum now!!

Anti? Seriously this is getting ridiculous. I guess that they are anti-bush and anti-gilmore too since neither lead in their polls. Seriously.

The DMR has been very anti-TRUMP in their reporting and editorials this campaign.

Yes, and so they bribed Ann Selzer to skew her polls, just to make him look bad, right?

Not only that it was probably Reince himself! Next he'll probably say that overtimepolitics broke off the "trump" team because they showed Iowa tied.

The Des Moines Register really just wants to toy with Lief.  They know that he's both pro-Clinton and pro-Trump, so they bribed Ann Selzer to put out anti-Trump polls, while also having her set up "Overtime Politics" in her spare time, to churn out anti-Clinton polls.  It's the most logical explanation.

The editorial board over there probably reads the Atlas forum frequently, and has decided to troll posters they don't like.  I bet they even have a few accounts here.  If you spot a likely DMR poster, let me know and I'll run an IP check.

[Mr. Morden]

A graphic illustration of this poll:

[Mr. Morden]

Are they overpolled old Romney supporters? and underpolled former Paul supporters?  I cut out the ones that didn't attended the caucus.

I don't trust voters to accurately recall who they voted for last time.  Especially in a case like this, when you're talking about a caucus, and some people may have been confused and thought they were being asked who they supported in the general election.