MA-Boston Globe/Suffolk: Clinton 54% Sanders 29% O’Malley 3%

[Mr. Morden]

Boston Globe/Suffolk poll of Massachusetts, taken Nov. 19-22:

https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2015/11/24/mass-poll-shows-voters-split-baker-refugee-stance/sbUwD3b1gyaaf6m6xXq7rL/story.html

Clinton 54%
Sanders 29%
O’Malley 3%

[Mr. Morden]

So let me get this straight, Bernie Sanders is doing significantly worse in Massachusetts than he is in Iowa?

It makes sense.  A notably larger fraction of the MA Democratic primary electorate is composed of racial minorities, as compared to Iowa.

And of course remember that, back in 2008, Clinton did far better in both MA and RI than she did in the other New England states.

[Mr. Morden]

Yeah, while I wouldn't bet on Sanders winning any Super Tuesday states besides Vermont, I bet the non-Vermont Super Tuesday states in which he does best will be Colorado and Minnesota, primarily because they're caucuses and secondarily because they're in states that he'd be doing relatively OK in even in a primary.  Both of them should be better for him than Massachusetts.