PPP: Hillary destroys any GOPer except Christie

[Mr. Morden]

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 44%
Chris Christie .................................................. 42%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 51%
Jeb Bush......................................................... 37%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 51%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 37%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 53%
Paul Ryan ....................................................... 39%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_National_011013.pdf

Same thing I said in the other thread applies here.  Rubio's name recognition is a bit lower than the other candidates being polled here, so his showing here really isn't as bad as it is for Bush and Ryan.

[Mr. Morden]

Here are the things that stand out to me the most about the poll:

Christie's strong numbers are because of crossover appeal; Clinton's strong numbers are because Democrats love her.

Christie favorability / unfavorability among…
Dems 52 / 23% for +29%
GOP 48 / 27% for +21%
Independents 52 / 18% for +34%

Clinton favorability / unfavorability among…
Dems 81 / 16% for +65%
GOP 17 / 73% for -56%
Independents 48 / 41% for +7%

Martinez and Rubio are the only Republicans with better favorables among Hispanics than whites.

Martinez favorability / unfavorability among…
whites 14 / 16% for -2%
Hispanics 28 / 23% for +5%
blacks 29 / 20% for +9%
other 19 / 23% for -4%

Rubio favorability / unfavorability among…
whites 32 / 27% for +5%
Hispanics 51 / 27% for +24%
blacks 21 / 39% for -18%
other 31 / 21% for +10%

Clinton also only leads Rubio by 3% among Hispanics, but 9% among whites.

Younger voters don't seem to like anyone

In recent elections, Dems have done well among the young, while Republicans have done well among the old.  However, for 2016, voters under 30 don't seem to like anyone very much.  The Republicans of course have higher favorability among older voters, but in this poll, most of the Democratic candidates also do as well or better among older voters as they do among younger voters.  Biden is actually the most popular among the young, at +13% favorable among those under 30.  Clinton, however, is at 45/48% for -3% among voters under 30, but 58 / 33% for +25% among voters over 65.

In the Christie vs. Clinton matchup, the numbers by age group are as follows:

under 30: Clinton 57% - Christie 29%
30-45: Christie 49% - Clinton 38%
46-65: Clinton 46% - Christie 42%
over 65: Clinton 45% - Christie 37%

So Clinton's best category here is the under 30 crowd, but Christie's is the next youngest group (30-45), since Clinton also does well among olds.

[Mr. Morden]

Essentially a tie with Christie during Hillary's high point. Can't wait to see the polls with him leading her in a few months. 

This is Christie's high point too. Democrats will love to hate him if he enters into the GOP primaries, where he'll have to flip-flop to the right like Romney or lose as bad as Giuliani.

It won't really be "flip-flopping".  It'll be a change in emphasis.  Christie's troubles with the GOP base come more from symbolic acts, like praising Obama's handling of Sandy, and his criticism of Boehner over Sandy aid.  The actual substantive reasons for the GOP base to distrust him are less significant than they were with McCain, Giuliani, or Romney, though I agree that the political effect is similar nonetheless.