MN and CO PrimR- PPP: Santorum leading by 2 in MN, Romney by 14 in CO in 1st day

[Mr. Morden]

That might well be. I am thinking of winner take all NY, where a substantial percentage of registered Republicans are well, Italian American.

It's not WTA, like I mentioned in the other thread. 

[Mr. Morden]

PPP actually did OK with its Nevada poll this time.  (Though it underestimated Paul's support....but everyone kind of expected Paul to beat his polling #s in a caucus anyway.)

I guess it's still an open question whether their polling for subsequent caucuses will be as good.  In 2008, the turnout for caucuses after Nevada was even lower, so they were harder to poll.  I'm guessing turnout in CO and MN might be up from 2008 though, since all of the candidates are doing at least one or two campaign appearances this time, as they're not just 1 of 20 states on Super Tuesday.  But really, who knows?

[Mr. Morden]

PPP is releasing new numbers tonight, Mittens possibly running third in MN

How would they already know that for a poll being conducted tonight?  Do they actually poll during the day on a weekday?

[Mr. Morden]

PPP is releasing new numbers tonight, Mittens possibly running third in MN

How would they already know that for a poll being conducted tonight?  Do they actually poll during the day on a weekday?

I think it's based on Sunday night's numbers. The polling in the OP is from Saturday night.

They said they weren't going to poll on Super Bowl Sunday.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/colorado-and-minnesota-republican-poll-question-suggestions.html

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