The FL Election Day & Results Thread

[Mr. Morden]

First results & the Exit Poll numbers can be expected shortly after 7pm EST (1am Europe).

Results will start from 7pm, but they won't release the exit poll until voting ends in the panhandle at 8pm.  At least, they won't release the topline exit poll numbers until then.  Individual crosstabs from the early exits could be released as early as 5pm.

[Mr. Morden]

Will they wait to call the race until the panhandle has voted, as well, are will they go ahead and call it after the peninsula is finished voting?

They won't call the race until the panhandle has voted.  This is the way it's been since the post-2000 reforms.  After the fiasco of the 2000 election, the networks all promised to stop calling states until all the polls had closed in the whole state.  They also don't release the full exit poll until all the polls have closed in the state.

[Mr. Morden]

Early exit poll data:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/campaigns/exit-poll-of-florida-gop-voters-shows-pain-from-economy-divisions-over-illegal-immigration/2012/01/31/gIQA17MwfQ_story.html

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-57369226-503544/florida-primary-exit-polls-2-3rds-say-debates-mattered/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Mr. Morden]

Exit poll tidbits mentioned on TV:

http://gop12.thehill.com/2012/01/cnn-fox-exit-polls.html

CNN:

a. 30% of FL GOP voters call themselves moderate or liberal, 37% somewhat conservative, 34% very conservative.

b. 66% of FL GOP voters support tea party.

c. 15% of GOP voting electorate today is Latino.

FOX News:

a. Romney is winning 58% of those who say beating Obama is their biggest concern.

b. Romney is dead last among those who say electing a "true conservative" is most important.

c. Romney is winning seniors by 15% over Newt.

d. Gingrich only leading Romney among evangelicals by 4%.

e. Romney winning Hispanics by 27%.