How the financial crises could have been avoided by the federal reserve (user search)
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  How the financial crises could have been avoided by the federal reserve (search mode)
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Author Topic: How the financial crises could have been avoided by the federal reserve  (Read 1789 times)
AggregateDemand
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« on: May 19, 2015, 01:17:27 PM »



What is this thread about? The Fed did notice the housing bubble, and they responded. Unfortunately, it was too little too late, and when $140 oil arrived, the US economy collapsed.
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AggregateDemand
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« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2015, 01:56:39 PM »

Exactly. If you look back to Volcker's time, he had to raise rates up near 20% to combat inflation. Raising them gradually up to 6%, where they typically are, barely did anything. However, the oil link between oil and the economy collapsing is a bit less tenuous than you are suggesting.

y = c + i + g + nx

If net exports plummet because oil imports (dollar value) are soaring and domestic production is declining, the economy is going to falter. I'm not sure oil prices necessarily catalyzed the credit implosion, but the US economy was under immense pressure.

Consumptive imports for 2008 were $327B. Consumptive imports for 2014 were $178B. We're on pace for roughly $115B this year. Free GDP growth at 1.5% plus higher domestic production. Oil is a big part of our recovery, and you can see why Democrats don't really oppose fracking and Republicans don't really oppose CAFE (or the concept of fuel efficiency).
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