It definitely won't be Rogers. Who in the world is going to actually vote for her?
Someone who doesn't know about her background.
That would make up 95% of the people who do vote for her, but how in the world would she win a Democratic Primary in a large state against serious candidates who are trying to win? The only way it would happen is if almost everyone voted randomly because no one knew anything about that candidates, nor did they care. And it's not like Republican saboteurs will be voting in the primary, since they have their own primary they need to pay attention to.
I'm sure that it will go to a run-off, where the more dedicated (and involved) folks in the Democratic Party will come out.