2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan

[Bojack Horseman]

The fact that Flint is going to have a Republican congressman now with everything that city has gone through in the last 8 years is a slap in the face.

[Bojack Horseman]

The fact that Flint is going to have a Republican congressman now with everything that city has gone through in the last 8 years is a slap in the face.

Is it? Or are we assuming the 5th (what I'm assuming the district number of the Bay City-Midland-Flint CD is) is unwinnable for Ds in 2022?
I don't see Kildee running anywhere else. With his incumbency, Ds have a very good shot here. Even if he retired, the seat is still winnable. Also, unlike some other incumbents, Kildee actually has the vast majority of his territory retained.

Saginaw and Bay City will soon be as red as Macomb County is. Especially if 2022 is the red wave everyone is expecting, Flint by itself may not be enough to save Kildee.

[Bojack Horseman]

The new Congressional map is facing a lawsuit and I'd wager it will be struck down on VRA grounds. There is not a single minority-majority district in the new map because they played Tetris in Detroit. Minority vote dilution is also a significant concern in the state legislative maps, where inner city neighborhoods were deliberately balanced by the white suburbs. While the House will likely stay Republican under the new map, the Senate could very plausibly yield a 20-18 majority for Democrats if the maps were to actually go into effect.

[Bojack Horseman]

An interesting development in also how stupid they went for partisan fairness. They crossed the Monroe Wayne border multiple times to create more Dem composite districts but actually increases a Trump district. Meanwhile they also split Washtenaw like 7 times. It perfectly nests into 4 very clean and obvious COI seats(Ann Arbor North and 1 South, 1 Ypsi, 1 rest of county)

The ironic thing is that it was pretty much intended to be a D gerrymander because anything short of that would pretty much be an R gerrymander.