Bojack Horseman
Wolverine22
YaBB God
Posts: 4,375
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« on: November 12, 2016, 05:21:07 PM » |
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I said the day after the 2014 election that irrespective of who wins the Presidency, we'd have a Democratic governor in 4 years. New Mexico is pretty much guaranteed to go back to the Dems, and if Trump is unpopular enough (Which I'd bet my bottom dollar he will be) we'll pick up the open governorships in Nevada, Florida, Maine, and possibly Kansas after the Brownback disaster.
In 2002, Democrats won the governorships in Kansas, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Wyoming (WTF!?), Maine, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Illinois and that was when Bush was popular enough for Republicans to take back the Senate and hold the House. If we can get strong, local candidates and get enough money behind them, I think Brad Henry can win his old job back in Oklahoma, or maybe even Jim Cooper in Tennessee.
This is where the Trump unpopularity factor comes in. I think his approval ratings will be at Obama 2010 or worse to where the message "Stop Donald Trump, vote (Democratic Candidate)" will work in even moderately red states. In normally-blue states like my own state of Michigan, I think Donald Trump is going to end up sweeping the Republicans out of power, just like Bush did in 2006. We took a commanding majority in the state House of Representatives and something like 3 seats from winning the Senate as well.
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