Obama up 6% in the popular vote (user search)
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  Obama up 6% in the popular vote (search mode)
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Author Topic: Obama up 6% in the popular vote  (Read 2275 times)
© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« on: November 05, 2008, 01:29:28 PM »

Obama +6.1 with some of Cali and Portland out West still to come in.  my PV estimate of 52.82 vs 45.98 may well prove to be just about dead-on.  not to brag or anything.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2008, 01:38:03 PM »

Clear but close. Hopefully Republicans take the first part on board (though with the electoral college totals being what they are, how could they not...), hopefully Democrats in general and the Obama Administration in particular do the same with the second...

a 6.5-7% margin (which is what it likely will end up as, IMO) isn't close at all with today's stubborn electorate.  if Bush had a 'mandate' with a 2.4% win, wtf is this?  cue to dictatorship?
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,562
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2008, 08:01:53 PM »

a 6.5-7% margin (which is what it likely will end up as, IMO) isn't close at all with today's stubborn electorate.

An unusual statement to make when all the huge swings, strange swings and massive outbreaks of ticket-splitting are considered. Whatever else it might be, a stubborn electorate this is not. Obama's win is a clear one (of course) and the election wasn't tight or even in doubt by polling day. Relatively close though. Close enough to make it dangerous for the Obama Administration to believe that it wasn't close (if that makes sense).

just because the election was contested between different coalitions than we have seen over the past two cycles (Obama more rich suburbanites and youth, McCain more poorer white rural working classers) doesn't mean that the electorate was un-stubborn.  the opinion polls didn't move terribly much through the whole campaign, and certainly not over the handful of weeks.

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Yeah, see, that's the sort of attitude that I worry about...
[/quote]

would the right form of the word there have been 'queue'?  this is one small area of the English language I shall never master.
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