are the following stocks under- or over-valued on Intrade? (user search)
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  are the following stocks under- or over-valued on Intrade? (search mode)
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Author Topic: are the following stocks under- or over-valued on Intrade?  (Read 2061 times)
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


« on: December 09, 2007, 05:02:30 PM »

2008DEM.NOM.CLINTON 62.0
2008DEM.NOM.OBAMA 30.0
2008DEM.NOM.EDWARDS 4.9
2008DEM.NOM.GORE 2.3

2008.GOP.NOM.GIULIANI 39.5
2008.GOP.NOM.HUCKABEE 19.9
2008.GOP.NOM.ROMNEY 19.3
2008.GOP.NOM.MCCAIN 8.2
2008.GOP.NOM.THOMPSON(F) 5.4
2008.GOP.NOM.PAUL 4.9
2008.GOP.NOM.RICE 1.4
2008.GOP.NOM.GINGRICH 0.3

2008.DEM.VP.GORE 15.9
2008.DEM.VP.OBAMA 11.7

2008.REP.VP.HUCKABEE 28.0

GORE.RUNNING.2008 2.6
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 10, 2007, 03:37:44 PM »

2008DEM.NOM.CLINTON 62.0 - about right, perhaps a tick low
2008DEM.NOM.OBAMA 30.0 - about right
2008DEM.NOM.EDWARDS 4.9 - far too high (1-2%)
2008DEM.NOM.GORE 2.3 - about right, perhaps a tick high

2008.GOP.NOM.GIULIANI 39.5 - far, far too high
2008.GOP.NOM.HUCKABEE 19.9 - too low
2008.GOP.NOM.ROMNEY 19.3 - too low
2008.GOP.NOM.MCCAIN 8.2 - too high
2008.GOP.NOM.THOMPSON(F) 5.4 - too high
2008.GOP.NOM.PAUL 4.9 - too high
2008.GOP.NOM.RICE 1.4 - lol.  one of the true enigmas of the market.  perhaps they think she'd be the most likely to be drafed at a split convention?
2008.GOP.NOM.GINGRICH 0.3 - about right, maybe a tick high

2008.DEM.VP.GORE 15.9 - another wtf
2008.DEM.VP.OBAMA 11.7 - too high

2008.REP.VP.HUCKABEE 28.0 - too high, mainly because I think the market undervalues him to with the RepNom.  but if extrapolated a bit (28.0/(100-19.9)) it makes sense

GORE.RUNNING.2008 2.6 - about right
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