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Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 36,562
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« Reply #1 on: December 10, 2007, 03:37:44 PM » |
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2008DEM.NOM.CLINTON 62.0 - about right, perhaps a tick low 2008DEM.NOM.OBAMA 30.0 - about right 2008DEM.NOM.EDWARDS 4.9 - far too high (1-2%) 2008DEM.NOM.GORE 2.3 - about right, perhaps a tick high
2008.GOP.NOM.GIULIANI 39.5 - far, far too high 2008.GOP.NOM.HUCKABEE 19.9 - too low 2008.GOP.NOM.ROMNEY 19.3 - too low 2008.GOP.NOM.MCCAIN 8.2 - too high 2008.GOP.NOM.THOMPSON(F) 5.4 - too high 2008.GOP.NOM.PAUL 4.9 - too high 2008.GOP.NOM.RICE 1.4 - lol. one of the true enigmas of the market. perhaps they think she'd be the most likely to be drafed at a split convention? 2008.GOP.NOM.GINGRICH 0.3 - about right, maybe a tick high
2008.DEM.VP.GORE 15.9 - another wtf 2008.DEM.VP.OBAMA 11.7 - too high
2008.REP.VP.HUCKABEE 28.0 - too high, mainly because I think the market undervalues him to with the RepNom. but if extrapolated a bit (28.0/(100-19.9)) it makes sense
GORE.RUNNING.2008 2.6 - about right
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