Conservative Dems in the Senate

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I couldn't think of many more.

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I voted for ol' Joe.

You're wrong, but you are entitled to your opinion.

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Zell is the one:
A mathematician did a correlation analysis of voting records over 498 roll call votes from 1998 to 2000.  This ranked the 100 Senators.  On his scale the most liberal Democrat has the lowest score, Feingold  WI (1), and the most conservative Senator Kyl AZ (102).  Zell Miller was the least liberal Democrat, interestingly only one Repubican was more liberal then him (Chafee of RI). I don't have a web link but here is the journal reference:
"Non-Parametric Unfolding of Binary Choice Data." Political Analysis, 8:211-237, 2000.

WE KNOW.

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Most Republicans could vote for Miller, just as most Democrats could probably vote for Chafee, and to a lesser extent, McCain, even though he supports Bush.

Does Chaffee vote Dem in elections?  I don' think so, they all support Bush, no matter how moderate.

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We'll never know. There's a secret ballot in America. Frankly, should the senate split fifty-fifty again, Chafee is quite likely to follow Jeffords' example.

That's unlikely, the Republicans are likely to gain seats in 2004.

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Miami,

I give you credit for conceding that Republicans are likely to gain Senate seats in 2004. That could not have come easy for you!!!

Objectively, I think the Republicans will gain at least two seats and could win as many as six...do you agree?

I'm very confident that Republican pickups will include Georgia, South Carolina, Florida and North Carolina, with potential gains in Louisiana and South Dakota. Also, the Republicans have longshot pickup chances in North Dakota, Nevada, Washington and perhaps even California.

The Democrats have a likely pickup in Illinois and a good chance to pickup Alaska. They also have longshot pickup chances in Oklahoma and Pennsylvania.

What are your thoughts on my analysis?

Well, your analysis is pretty good.  The south is revolutionizing, if you will.  Georgia in 2002 elected their first Republican governor since reconstruction!  The GOP almsot definitely will win SC, NC, and Georgia.  The Dems will win the Illinois seat almost for sure.  

In Alaska, is Tony Knowles running?  that's holding me up a little here.

Daschle and Boxer won't lose (major career mistake for John Thune).  Louisiana and Florida are tossups, but It hink the LA seat goes to the GOP and the Dems hold Florida.  Specter would win in Penn, but toomey wouldn't, and Oklahoma is a GOP seat.

So that ends up to be: Republicans +2 or 3, depending on Alaska.

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Knowles probably will win narrowly in Alaska.  I went there this summer and the people were mad at Gov. Murkowski for appointing her unqualified daughter to the senate.

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Sheesh, so they're mad enough to shoot themselves in the foot?  If there was ever a state electorate who's interests were served by just one party it is Alaska.  Heck the national Dems want to turn to the whole place in to some sort of bear and reindeer preserve.

They already elected Tony Knowles governor, and he was very popular.

MarkDel-I know Frank is a man, I was thinking of his daughter, Lisa.

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You wrote "Frank Murkowski appointed her daughter Lisa", though. Are you sure you know this?

Yes....
I saw Gov Murkowski's mansion in Juneau.

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Knowles is the best candidate that AK Dems can round up, I don't think there is any dispute about that.

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I know but its a big difference between electing a governor and electing a Democrat to the Senate - which is the very body that the national Democrats are using to hold back the development of the state.

The fact remains, Gov Knowles was elected by the Alaskan people.  Lisa "thank you daddy for this senate seat" Murkowski was not.

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Well, here we sit on February 7th, 2004.  I will make a bold prediction that will most likely come back to bite me.

GOV. KNOWLES WILL DEFEAT "SEN." MURKOWSKI IN ALASKA.

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Hell, it was one of two senate races I got wrong.  The other was North Carolina I think.  Not bad at all.  (And I got every state right in the presidential race)