NJ: Mason-Dixon: Menendez (D) leads Kean (R)

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The last two reputable polls on this race (i.e. non-Uni polls) show it at Kean 41% Menendez 40% and now Menendez 44% Kean 41%.  If either of those are the case on election day, we know that undecideds will break hard for Menendez (they always do in NJ, look at the Gov. race last yr: nobody predicted Corzine would win by 10.5%) and give him the election. I don't really see much of a choice but to move this back into "Tossup D".

Menendez is such a prick too.  But, hell, who cares.  Vote for the (D).

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Also taken before the Foley and Woodward stories broke.

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MSNBC poll page

Says it was registered voters, not likely.  Also, they really oversmpled the 65+ crowd and undersampled self described conservatives compared to the 2004 election results.

Fewer self-identified conservatives probably exist than did in 2004 in NJ.