Out on a limb

[© tweed]

Once again, Daschle will not lose.  Thune lost to Johnson by 500 votes or so, and the only thing that saved Johnson was Dashcle's support.  Thune *should* run for SD's open House seat, as he would have a far greater chance at winning that.

President: Bush defeats Dean about 51-47%, with the toher third candidates splitting hte vote.  Bush picks up Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Oregon, and New Mexico.  That calculates into a 334-204 Bush win.  But after Bush make a "pig's ear" of it in his second term, the Republicans will have to go moderate with a Giuliani or McCain candidacy.

GOP makes moderate gains in Gubernatorial, Senate, and house races.

[© tweed]

Too late, Thune is running, I have it on good sources and he will announce tonight.

Once again, Daschle will not lose.  Thune lost to Johnson by 500 votes or so, and the only thing that saved Johnson was Dashcle's support.  Thune *should* run for SD's open House seat, as he would have a far greater chance at winning that.

President: Bush defeats Dean about 51-47%, with the toher third candidates splitting hte vote.  Bush picks up Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Oregon, and New Mexico.  That calculates into a 334-204 Bush win.  But after Bush make a "pig's ear" of it in his second term, the Republicans will have to go moderate with a Giuliani or McCain candidacy.

GOP makes moderate gains in Gubernatorial, Senate, and house races.

If he is, he just made a major career mistake.

[© tweed]

Daschle will win fairly norrowly.  I don't see an upset happening there.

[© tweed]

How much do you want to bet that Dashle will lose?  I'll give you a 5% on Thune as the dog.

[© tweed]

I'm taking Daschle.  You're taking thune since you think he will beat Daschle.

[© tweed]

I would give 5% since Thune would be the underdog.

Which do you see as the safest senate seat coming up in 2004?  Schumer in NY?

[© tweed]

Which do you see as the safest senate seat coming up in 2004?  Schumer in NY?

From the ones I know of, I'd say McCain in Arizona or Nighthorse Campbell in Colorado.

Yeah, McCain probably is.  He may win 70% or more of the vote, which is hard to believe, but it could happen.

[© tweed]

hadn't heard about Greens in Alaska, tell more please, got a link?

Greens tend to be fairly popular in Alaska, if I am not mistaken.  I believe that they have taken between 5-15% in the last few Congressional/Presidential elections.

Any independent/third party candidate is popular in alaska.  I don't know the reason, but they voted in high numbers for Perot ('92 and '96) and Nader ('00)

[© tweed]

hadn't heard about Greens in Alaska, tell more please, got a link?

Greens tend to be fairly popular in Alaska, if I am not mistaken.  I believe that they have taken between 5-15% in the last few Congressional/Presidential elections.

Any independent/third party candidate is popular in alaska.  I don't know the reason, but they voted in high numbers for Perot ('92 and '96) and Nader ('00)

The same goes for the far northeast right? (Maine, New Hampshire)

Yes, but not to the level of alaska.  Vermont has a vermont Grassroots party that gets a good share of the vote in gubernatorial elections.

[© tweed]

Clark Bush is probably 50-48% or so.

[© tweed]

DEAL.

Safest seat-Bennet in Utah.

I would give 5% since Thune would be the underdog.

Which do you see as the safest senate seat coming up in 2004?  Schumer in NY?

Okay, Jravnsbo...bumping this thread up so I can rub it in your face when Daschle is re-elected.