Rank the top five most likely people to be elected POTUS in November 2016

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H. Clinton
Christie
J. Bush
Rubio
Rand Paul

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Hillary is 10 times as likely as anyone else to be elected president:

She's almost 100% to be the Democratic nominee.
No Republican is much higher than 10% to be the nominee.
The Democratic nominee is about 60% to win the general.

I'd change the numbers to 70/20/65, but you have the right general idea.

[© tweed]

Hillary is 10 times as likely as anyone else to be elected president:

She's almost 100% to be the Democratic nominee.
No Republican is much higher than 10% to be the nominee.
The Democratic nominee is about 60% to win the general.

I'd change the numbers to 70/20/65, but you have the right general idea.

Is the 70 factoring in the fact that she may not run?

yeah, but I wouldn't put that number much higher than 5-10%

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Why do people put Jeb at #2?  His last name would destroy him in a general.  I would argue just about everyone, maybe even Ted Cruz(probably not though), would be more electable than him. 

George W Bush has become more popular as a former President.

that happens with every ex-president.  even Nixon.