Democrat tickkets 04? (user search)
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  Democrat tickkets 04? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democrat tickkets 04?  (Read 8810 times)
© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« on: January 12, 2004, 04:35:49 PM »

Edwards was sucking up to Dean last night, I think he really wants that VP slot.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1 on: January 13, 2004, 12:23:54 PM »

Assuming Dean wins the nomination, who would be the most advantageous VP?  Not Clark, who is such a vague, half-baked non-entity that I doubt he'd even turn Arkansas, and certainly no other states.  I think VP is not that useful except if it is someone very strongly popular from a big swing state, since they have little national effect, outside their home state.  So Graham from Florida is the best.  Its possible he could turn that state, but very likely no others.  However, that would be enough.  Edwards could not turn NC, which is solid Bush.  He barely won the senate seat there and is not popular.  Richardson would just make sure NM stayed Dem, I don't think he'd turn Arizona.  Besides even if he did, and Bush won Florida, kept Ohio, and gained IA/MN/WI, it wouldn't matter.  Gephart wouldn't give Dean Missouri - he's unpopular statewide outside his district - though he might help hold IA/MN/WI.  I doubt he'd make much difference in OH.  

So it comes down to Graham, even though he's such a sad sack.
Edwards could still turn Arkansas and Louisiana and would make a dent in NC, forcing bush to spend some $$$$ there.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2 on: January 13, 2004, 01:46:12 PM »

Gore wasn't really seen as a southerner, nor did he come across as one.  NC is far more conservative than Arkansas and Louisiana, so Edwards, with SOUTHERN appeal that Gore did not have, will have a better shot at ARK and LA.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #3 on: January 13, 2004, 01:57:33 PM »

Gore wasn't really seen as a southerner, nor did he come across as one.  NC is far more conservative than Arkansas and Louisiana, so Edwards, with SOUTHERN appeal that Gore did not have, will have a better shot at ARK and LA.
Gore had a high black and dem turnout and he still lost.
I'm talking arkansas and Louisiana.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #4 on: January 13, 2004, 02:11:45 PM »

Thanks to Sharpton Dean won't be able to.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #5 on: January 13, 2004, 02:43:56 PM »

Thanks to Sharpton Dean won't be able to.
I loved the look on Deans face when he had to admit that Big Al was right.
Lemme ask you something.  where are you going to find a black guy in vermont?  that state is lamost as white as it's ski resorts.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,562
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« Reply #6 on: January 13, 2004, 02:59:37 PM »

But Al was only right on a small point and Dean looked like he was caving completely.  

Thanks to Sharpton Dean won't be able to.
I loved the look on Deans face when he had to admit that Big Al was right.
Sharpton is a destructive sideshow.
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