English local elections, May 2014

[EPG]

Hardly surprising that they would wither in England's most culturally left-wing city and retrench to their strong areas. Could the Greens become the second-biggest party?

[EPG]

In the long term - like the Alliance/Lib Dems in the 80s and early 90s - it's hard to see how they can take many seats in areas where they don't have councillors.

[EPG]

You'd have to guess that they would hold onto their two seats in the Sutton council area, right?

[EPG]

The media are indeed talking about Labour. As is clear here. They are pointing out that Labour isn't doing well enough to win the next election (the areas that were polled on Thursday are Labour-friendly compared to the country as a whole) and reporting on backbenchers taking turns to tell their unfortunate leader what to do next. As for UKIP, they are having one of their best elections ever, and one of the best ever for any third party; that's at least newsworthy.

[EPG]

The media are indeed talking about Labour. As is clear here. They are pointing out that Labour isn't doing well enough to win the next election (the areas that were polled on Thursday are Labour-friendly compared to the country as a whole) and reporting on backbenchers taking turns to tell their unfortunate leader what to do next. As for UKIP, they are having one of their best elections ever, and one of the best ever for any third party; that's at least newsworthy.

Politicalbetting.com, seriously?

Not sure what this means.

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The media did cover that. I heard it myself on the BBC. But "small oppositions to Labour replaced by tiny opposition" is not much news. It makes absolutely no difference to Liverpool, Manchester, and so on. In contrast, UKIP's rise will affect the debates on immigration, Europe and so on. I know this forum is about election statistics and results, but policies and government matter more to 99% of people who watch the news.

[EPG]

He didn't claim that the projection was wrong. It's a chart of actual votes in the elections that happened. Isn't there merit in having the figures?