Brexit THread

[swl]

Thanks for the great post. I guess there is a good opportunity for Northern Ireland. They could end up with  a special status that makes it the best place for future EU-UK trade.

[swl]

I am quite confident about Brexit, I think it will go well however it will be such a long and unclear process with so many steps that the most hard-core brexiters will be disappointed.

In around one year the UK will officially leave the EU, losing his representation. Nothing else will change, maybe some cosmetic changes related to immigration from EU citizens. Then we will enter the official transition period where everything will be the same during a few years. Then when the official transition is over, we will have many smaller transitions topic by topic with different timelines. So I am sure the final shape UK-EU relationship will not be reached before 10 years.

To me the most difficult issue during all this.process will be Northern Ireland. Some politicians in the UK are trying to show us that they will find a solution such that you can have A=B, B=C but A different from C ! This single issue will be the one impossible to solve and will frustrate brexiters goals. At the end we will either keep such a strong link between UK and EU that the Northern Ireland border remains will remain invisible, or we will put borders and controls between the 2 while allowing NI to be giant loophole in the system