Trump: 4 years or 8 years? (user search)
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  Trump: 4 years or 8 years? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump: 4 years or 8 years?  (Read 5524 times)
SWE
SomebodyWhoExists
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« on: December 24, 2016, 01:09:14 PM »

Also, Trump could be impeached. He has already shown a lack of regard to the law and the Constitution. He is scandal-prone, and already historically unpopular. There are his conflicts of interest and other scandals. Allan Lichtman, the professor who predicted Trump's win based on his scientific model, has also predicted his impeachment.
Why does the fact that Lichtman's model has finally been discredited give him credence?
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SWE
SomebodyWhoExists
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Posts: 13,364
United States


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« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2016, 03:33:39 PM »

Also, Trump could be impeached. He has already shown a lack of regard to the law and the Constitution. He is scandal-prone, and already historically unpopular. There are his conflicts of interest and other scandals. Allan Lichtman, the professor who predicted Trump's win based on his scientific model, has also predicted his impeachment.
Why does the fact that Lichtman's model has finally been discredited give him credence?

He predicted Trump's win, and so did other scientific, fundamentals-based models.
He is model predicted Trump would win the popular vote. That did not happen, so his model was discredited. (also calling the 13 keys "scientific" would be really, really, really, really, really, really, really stupid, even if they held up this year)
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SWE
SomebodyWhoExists
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*****
Posts: 13,364
United States


P P P
« Reply #2 on: December 25, 2016, 10:52:41 AM »

Also, Trump could be impeached. He has already shown a lack of regard to the law and the Constitution. He is scandal-prone, and already historically unpopular. There are his conflicts of interest and other scandals. Allan Lichtman, the professor who predicted Trump's win based on his scientific model, has also predicted his impeachment.
Why does the fact that Lichtman's model has finally been discredited give him credence?

He predicted Trump's win, and so did other scientific, fundamentals-based models.
He is model predicted Trump would win the popular vote. That did not happen, so his model was discredited. (also calling the 13 keys "scientific" would be really, really, really, really, really, really, really stupid, even if they held up this year)
Didn't the model flip when he thought Hillary lost the incumency advantage?
I don't think so? I don't recall Hillary ever being president, so I'm not sure why she'd have that?
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