McClatchy-Marist national poll: Clinton leads Bush, Christie, & Paul by 9-11pts. (user search)
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  McClatchy-Marist national poll: Clinton leads Bush, Christie, & Paul by 9-11pts. (search mode)
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Author Topic: McClatchy-Marist national poll: Clinton leads Bush, Christie, & Paul by 9-11pts.  (Read 1317 times)
New_Conservative
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« on: October 10, 2014, 08:12:23 PM »

No one knows who the hell her opponents are, of course she has a 10 point margin 2 years before the election. The average American is a lot more familiar with Hilary than Jeb Bush, Rand Paul or Chris Christie.
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2014, 09:39:52 PM »
« Edited: October 10, 2014, 09:44:26 PM by Branden Cordeiro »

No one knows who the hell her opponents are, of course she has a 10 point margin 2 years before the election. The average American is a lot more familiar with Hilary than Jeb Bush, Rand Paul or Chris Christie.

Nobody knows who the GOP vice presidential nominee from 2 years ago is? Christie is widely known at this point as well.

Jeb Bush, Chris Christie or Rand Paul were not on the ticket 2 years ago... And I disagree. The average American is a lot more familiar with Hilary. You are not going to vote for her opponents in a poll if you are not familiar with them. It always moderates before the election, no reason to think it won't this time, especially with GOP Congressional wave hopefully coming in this election. Obama's approval ratings are low, whether you want to admit it or not. She will be linked to Obama, and her polling numbers will come back to Earth.
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New_Conservative
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Posts: 1,139
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2014, 11:11:46 PM »

No one knows who the hell her opponents are, of course she has a 10 point margin 2 years before the election. The average American is a lot more familiar with Hilary than Jeb Bush, Rand Paul or Chris Christie.

Nobody knows who the GOP vice presidential nominee from 2 years ago is? Christie is widely known at this point as well.

Jeb Bush, Chris Christie or Rand Paul were not on the ticket 2 years ago... And I disagree. The average American is a lot more familiar with Hilary. You are not going to vote for her opponents in a poll if you are not familiar with them. It always moderates before the election, no reason to think it won't this time, especially with GOP Congressional wave hopefully coming in this election. Obama's approval ratings are low, whether you want to admit it or not. She will be linked to Obama, and her polling numbers will come back to Earth.

Paul Ryan was, and she leads him in all the polls as well. She also crushes Romney, who has name recognition equal to Hillary's, so you can't fall back on just the name recognition argument.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=196307.0

Her poll numbers already have come down to Earth. Now she's leading the Republicans by 9-11 points instead of by the 20+ points she was leading by back in 2013. Even if they do fall more, she has more than enough cushion considering the last 4 elections were decided by 0, 3, 7, and 4 points respectively.

Honestly, I could see her winning against Romney and Ryan by a comfortable margin  in a general election so I think those are quite indicative, but those numbers would tighten up by election day. They ran a terrible campaign in 2012, and many voters probably don't view them favorably. But, its not fair to judge what is going to happen in 2016 by these polls, they are never accurate this far in advance.
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