I just had one little thought. If the Dems gain the state legislature and governorship by the middle of the decade, they could try a mid-decade redistricting, given it should be easy enough to make a 24-14 or so map in the other direction.
Revenge for 2003...
The legislature did not redistrict in 2001.
Yes. The 2001 map was from federal court, if I recall correctly.
That screws up 2000s analogies a bit but if Ds do win control later on in the 2020s, we might still see a Dem mid-decade redraw. And the results might still evoke 2003.
I expect the Texas House to flip this decade, buoyed by the county-split rules when drawing House districts. But I would be more surprised if
both the Texas Senate and Governor flip. Just seems too good to be true.