Interesting. Why would a Clinton +8 district shift so hard to Republicans? And why does Cisneros already have an underwater favorability?
Cisneros is leading among Asian voters by only 2 points (43%-41%), losing badly even among whites with college degrees, and while he’s doing well with Hispanics, they’re not really planning to vote. He’s a pretty brazen carpetbagger (he moved from Maxine Waters’s district in LA) and is getting hit hard over the sexual harassment allegations on TV.
Democrats nominated a very flawed candidate, Republicans nominated their best recruit of the cycle, and invested enough money to shift it towards Team Red.
Kim is well-liked and voters think she’s in tune with the district. She’s the new Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, basically.
Is this sarcastic?
She won an Assembly District during an abysmal turnout year in the 2014 wave. Then promptly lost in 2016.
The only reason she has opened a lead is because Cisneros is a poor candidate. This seat will be a tossup in 2020, and the district will not be "oMg tItANiuM R" with her as the incumbent.