Missouri, of course. There's no way it would vote against Clinton.
I'd see Arkansas going for Clinton before Missouri, and I don't see Arkansas having a chance at going Democratic in 2016 at all.
The urban areas make Missouri far more Democratic than Arkansas.
My bad. I definitely don't see Democrats flipping Missouri with Clinton at the top of the ticket which is why I replied originally, but I injected my gut thought that the Clintons would win their "home state" before they flipped Missouri, which ignored the fact that Missouri is stronger D in presidential elections than Arkansas.
Anyway, I just don't see how Hillary could shift either in her column if she was running in 2016 no matter what winning margin of the vote they gave Romney in 2012. I think the usual suspects will flip: North Carolina and Florida.
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