This poll also has johnson trailing all dems…..
Color me skeptical
Personally, I think the gop wins both Wisconsin races by about 2 points
How is Johnson trailing Dems (not all of them) unbelievable? He is a terrible candidate.
When the party in power in America has a president with a 38% approval rating and 75%+ of Americans are unhappy with the economy, generally that means the president’s party is going to have a tough time
Yes, you're correct, but there's other things at play here too. Evers is a mildly popular incumbent (48/45 approval here) in a more polarized time, compared with more radical GOP opponents. Same thing with Dem side where Johnson is much more extreme and out of touch with a swing-state than before.
Same reason why some GOP senators won in 2018 despite the blue wave. Certain state situations will still overpower the national headwinds. Candidate quality also matters a lot.
But current polling will have us believe Ohio and North Carolina are going to be dem wins in the senate, which is just absolutely absurd in my view
And 2018 in the senate was great for dems
They only lost red states like Indiana and Missouri by 6-7 points