WI-GOV (Marquette): Evers leads all opponents (user search)
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  WI-GOV (Marquette): Evers leads all opponents (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-GOV (Marquette): Evers leads all opponents  (Read 1703 times)
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,058


« on: June 22, 2022, 12:38:03 PM »

This poll also has johnson trailing all dems…..

Color me skeptical

Personally, I think the gop wins both Wisconsin races by about 2 points
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,058


« Reply #1 on: June 22, 2022, 12:43:56 PM »

Press X to doubt. Wisconsin polling is notorious for underestimating Republicans. That being said, hopefully Kleefisch isn't the nominee.

The burden is on people who believe this poll to show who all these Trump 2020/dem 2022 voters are?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,058


« Reply #2 on: June 22, 2022, 12:50:52 PM »

This poll also has johnson trailing all dems…..

Color me skeptical

Personally, I think the gop wins both Wisconsin races by about 2 points

How is Johnson trailing Dems (not all of them) unbelievable? He is a terrible candidate.

When the party in power in America has a president with a 38% approval rating and 75%+ of Americans are unhappy with the economy, generally that means the president’s party is going to have a tough time
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,058


« Reply #3 on: June 22, 2022, 01:04:38 PM »

This poll also has johnson trailing all dems…..

Color me skeptical

Personally, I think the gop wins both Wisconsin races by about 2 points

How is Johnson trailing Dems (not all of them) unbelievable? He is a terrible candidate.

When the party in power in America has a president with a 38% approval rating and 75%+ of Americans are unhappy with the economy, generally that means the president’s party is going to have a tough time

Yes, you're correct, but there's other things at play here too. Evers is a mildly popular incumbent (48/45 approval here) in a more polarized time, compared with more radical GOP opponents. Same thing with Dem side where Johnson is much more extreme and out of touch with a swing-state than before.

Same reason why some GOP senators won in 2018 despite the blue wave. Certain state situations will still overpower the national headwinds. Candidate quality also matters a lot.

But current polling will have us believe Ohio and North Carolina are going to be dem wins in the senate, which is just absolutely absurd in my view

And 2018 in the senate was great for dems

They only lost red states  like Indiana and Missouri by 6-7 points
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