CA GOV 2021 - 2022 megathread

[Matty]

Where are you guys following results?

[Matty]

So is No in San Bernardino likely to hold at this point? 

Probably, the last big batch was not very pro-yes


I’m looking at the city level data in OC right now.

Whites in south OC swung heavy in favor of yes, but Irvine’s result was virtually unchanged from the 2020 presidential margin

My guess is that a decent chunk of Asians who voted trump actually voted against recall, due to their support for newsom covid policy.

For example, my precinct here in rancho Santa margarita was only 3 points below Romney’s margin in my precinct in 2012.

But Irvine was way way way to the left

[Matty]

Something else I have noticed in recent years:

The city of aliso viejo in socal votes significantly more dem than the cities it borders (mission viejo, laguna niguel, etc)

Why?

Is it because of soka university?

[Matty]

I just learned something I never knew before as I was comparing the results to previous elections

Romney LOST riverside county in 2012?

How did I not know that lol

[Matty]

So now that the results are almost final do we know if there was any significant Republican swing among Hispanics?

There was a Republican swing, but it was unimpressive.

So now that the results are almost final do we know if there was any significant Republican swing among Hispanics?

It would appear the opposite I think

So yes or no?

I could be wrong, but it appears most of the Hispanic/Latino-heavy precincts when overwhelmingly for "NO" on the recall.

Looks like we might have had counter swings between more rural/inland areas and the more urban/costal areas.

which makes sense. as latinos lose their "racial identity", they will gain a "regional identity"

[Matty]

Imperial county has finished all counting .

Yes to recall crossed 40%

The county is 90%+ hispanic, so it's a good proxy on latino vote state-wide.