AL-JMC: Moore +5

[Matty]

Three straight polls have Moore leading

This one is a 9 point swing to Moore

Of course this board tries to unskew

I don't want it to happen but all signs point to Moore recovering

[Matty]

This board has been obsessing over poll trends, and this poll clearly shows a trend

The 3% 18-34 electorate was identical to the previous poll that showed Jones up 4

So, all else being held equal, there was movement even if the actual margin is off

[Matty]

Three straight polls have Moore leading

This one is a 9 point swing to Moore

Of course this board tries to unskew

I don't want it to happen but all signs point to Moore recovering

Unskewing and pointing out methodology problems are two different things. A landline only poll with way too many old people deserves skeptism.

The poll demographics are EXACTLY the same as the previous JMC poll that had Jones up 4

Even if the margin is off, it is still a 9 point trend