Didn't we learn in 2014 that using early/absentee data to extraploate things can put egg on your face?
People thought Hagan was going to coast to victory based just on favorable absentee data out of NC in 2014.
Definitely true, but there isnt harm in comparing and noticing the differences compared to 2012
Hagan was hurt by the collapse in election-day turnout.
Not to go off track, but what the heck was up with that? How can a campaign be so good at absentee/early vote, but so bad on election day at GOTV?