State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3

[mds32]

The Aug. 17th CT-SD-36 special will be one to watch. With the Dem-leaning Independent candidate in the race the Republicans have a serious shot at retaking this previously Republican seat. Along with the Republican advantage we've seen in CT special elections the seat is ripe for a Republican flip.

[mds32]

The Aug. 17th CT-SD-36 special will be one to watch. With the Dem-leaning Independent candidate in the race the Republicans have a serious shot at retaking this previously Republican seat. Along with the Republican advantage we've seen in CT special elections the seat is ripe for a Republican flip.

That's in Greenwich right? I actually really like the Republican who's running there. He ran last year and actually got pretty close even as Biden carried the district by a solid amount.

Yes in fact the Republican recently won the endorsement of the Greenwich and Stamford police unions. This race seems to be a clear toss-up.

https://www.greenwichtime.com/elections/article/Republican-Fazio-gets-endorsement-of-police-union-16361472.php

[mds32]

The Aug. 17th CT-SD-36 special will be one to watch. With the Dem-leaning Independent candidate in the race the Republicans have a serious shot at retaking this previously Republican seat. Along with the Republican advantage we've seen in CT special elections the seat is ripe for a Republican flip.

That's in Greenwich right? I actually really like the Republican who's running there. He ran last year and actually got pretty close even as Biden carried the district by a solid amount.

Yes in fact the Republican recently won the endorsement of the Greenwich and Stamford police unions. This race seems to be a clear toss-up.

https://www.greenwichtime.com/elections/article/Republican-Fazio-gets-endorsement-of-police-union-16361472.php

Is it really a surprise a Republican got the endorsement of a police union though?

Local elections are fickle in union states particularly so I don't know.

[mds32]

At this point I am thinking Fazio (R) pulls off the win on Tuesday by two points. Not an earthshattering win but the Republicans will flip the seat. The Republican overperformance in CT Special Elections (similar to OK Democrats), the Independent (D) in the race, the previous 2020 Republican candidate, and with what's going on right now make me think that CT-SD-36 will be the first special election flip of the year.