OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[mds32]

Hello everyone

First time visiting this forum in a while

I’ll keep it quick

1) have zero clue what will happen tonight

2) it’s tragic that one or 2 turd posters can just derail a thread like this

I predict a 3 point victory for Balderson. 51-48-1(G)

For your second point I agree.

[mds32]

How many Americans would you say are following the race tonight? O/u 20-30 mill?

5 people

[mds32]

Balderson by 2

[mds32]

Licking Early vote in 50-48 Balderson

[mds32]

Some are calling the election already

https://mobile.twitter.com/StrawPollReport/status/1027012869794267137

[mds32]

Delaware has fully reported (at least accordiing to their website):

R 31742   53.96   
G 226   0.38
D 26854   45.65

That gives Balderson an additional 1514 and O'Connor 1436.

Wow, pretty decent swing compared to 2016. Not enough to win, of course, but that's the best Democratic performance there since...damn, I have no idea. That's a 7 and a half point swing when compared with 2016 and an 11 point swing when compared with 2008.

Actually the GOP vote percentage stayed relative to 2016.

Trump took about 54.5%. Balderson took 53.96%. What changed was that less people voted for 3rd party candidates.

[mds32]

Guys, Balderson won fair and square. Let's not be like Saccone and Moore, focus on the fall and win the darn house!

Look Bagel----

I'll be unusually blunt which is not my typical style.

Your "Election Analysis" on this thread quite frankly sucks, and has added 0% to the overall conversation, regardless of Partisan affiliation on the part of the vast majority of Atlas posters on the thread.

Sure, I'll give my PUB knowledgeable contributors the credit that the current evidence appears that Balderson won narrowly.

Still, you seem to forget the basic data, and neglect the fundamental point that the OH State Gvt has been systematically finding various ways of disenfranchising legit voters as part of a systematic effort to control of the levers of POWER within the great state of Ohio.

The slippery weasels essentially put ~ 5% of the entire voting population of OH CD-12 SE into a "Provisional Voting" category, and now you are bending down and worshiping at the altar of "Free and Fair elections"....

Call me confused as a former Resident of the Buckeye State?

Harsh.

[mds32]

Guys, this is definitely a loss. No doubt about it. The average voter doesn't keep track of partisan lean, historical elections in the district, or any of that stuff. They sit down to watch Fox and see ' (R) beats (D)'. That's pretty much it. : /

So if I'm a swing voter in and I see "R beats D in congressional election" on the news, am I supposed to immediately think "well I guess this means I'm voting GOP in November"

No that's what all the political signs of candidates on roadways are supposed to do lol