Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET)

[mds32]

Disappointed about the weather. Wish there was bad weather in those states to drive down turnout.

Anyway, I am pulling for Trump to win in Michigan and lose in the other states. And I could see that happening: a narrow Trump win in Michigan, Cruz crushing Trump in Idaho and narrowly winning Mississippi, and Rubio in Hawaii.

You want turnout to be low? That's f**ked up.

I was thinking the same thing.  Besides, there's no guarantee that a lower turnout favors the GOP or a higher turnout favors the Democrats.

I happen to think that very high turnout in Michigan can be beneficial to other candidates, however, states like Nevada would mean that lower turnout might be better for other candidates since Trump has large amounts of support in states like Nevada to begin with. So in fact low turnout in Mississippi may benefit Cruz, not saying it is a good thing but analyzing it as such is completely fine.

[mds32]

Manu Raju ‏@mkraju  1m1 minute ago
CNN exit poll for Rs: "Three-quarters in Mississippi back a temporary ban on Muslims entering US; that dips to just over 6 in 10 in Mich."

Good news for Trump but I could see a lot of these people backing Cruz as well. RIP Lil' Marco and Kasich.

That's for Mississippi, Michigan sounds far more competitive. And not everyone is obviously voting because of this issue.

[mds32]

Have there been any states so far in which a majority of Republicans were against a ban on Muslims entering the country?

Probably Vermont or Hawaii, but Vermont didn't have exits

[mds32]

Sounds as if Mississippi could be close. Cruz is leading with Strong Conservatives I read 42-31. 50% identified as Strong Conservatives vs. Trump winning Somewhat Conservatives 37-25-23 over Rubio/Cruz, that represents 30% of the GOP electorate.

[mds32]

Idaho

Trump 36%
Cruz 32%
Rubio 18%
Kasich 8%

[mds32]

Northern part of the Eastern side of the state. Clark, Butte, and Lemhei mainly.