I think it is dangerous to project out when it comes to Progressivism, but the one thing I feel we can say with confidence is traditional Conservatism will die with Gen X. The economic order it was based upon begin to collaspe in the 1990s, and took a body blow in 2008, and is going to be killed off by the twin features of AI and functional illiteracy among Generation Alpha and Younger Zoomers.
Gen X never had well paying manufacturing jobs.
Millenials missed out on being able to turn liberal arts degrees into middle managment roles in finance/law which means they were left with degrees priced for the value of paths which were closed.
Zoomeers are going to see the positions of millenials they would replace eliminated by AI a process which is going to be accelerated by younger zoomers and Gen alpha reading very little and writing like AIs.
Politics over the next 30 years will be a war of succession and while a revolt against conservatism can coincide with progressivism(see the UK) historically liberal and progressive governments have struggled to exploit or control it once in office. There is a decent chance a radical Right takes advantage.
One other economic change worth noting.
Right now the earning potential of the graduate of liberal arts College is probably less than that of an apprentice plumber. That has not happened before and we are going to see a situation where earnings and education cease correlating except at the very top where education is class signaling anyway.
So how will politics function when you have urban graduates of $70k a year schools struggling to make $80k and electricians and plumbers are making $250k in rural areas? How does that change attitudes to taxes and services.
Don't most college students major in more vocational fields like nursing, business, computer science ?
The vast majority of college students attend a school like California State University, Chico, and not Amherst College.
