Cruz Would Beat Clinton

[henster]

Is Hillary going to get the turnout she needs. She has issues with millenials, black turnout has been down across the board so far, Latinos always have poor turnout. If this is another base election I am unsure if she is going to motivate the groups she needs in order to win.

[henster]

Cruz could beat hillary. Not sure about would. Lol at people saying Cruz would get destroyed. These are the same nuts who predicted Trump would be yesterdays news and never generate traction.

He only gets destroyed if Trump really raises hell after the convention. Otherwise it'll stay close but I can't see how the heck Cruz flips enough Obama states.

I could see Cruz flipping CO and OH if its Cruz/Kasich. IA seems to have trended red as of late and I think WI could be a tossup MU Law had them tied in their last poll. With CO, OH, IA, & WI that gets him to 278.

[henster]

Cruz could beat hillary. Not sure about would. Lol at people saying Cruz would get destroyed. These are the same nuts who predicted Trump would be yesterdays news and never generate traction.

He only gets destroyed if Trump really raises hell after the convention. Otherwise it'll stay close but I can't see how the heck Cruz flips enough Obama states.

I could see Cruz flipping CO and OH if its Cruz/Kasich. IA seems to have trended red as of late and I think WI could be a tossup MU Law had them tied in their last poll. With CO, OH, IA, & WI that gets him to 278.

Cruz isn't going to win WI though. He's a terrible fit, and even exit polls during the primary showed that.

And Hillary is a better fit? I think Cruz would hammer her on trade all across the Midwest, she is very vulnerable on the issue. Obama never supported NAFTA and TPP wasn't even an issue.

[henster]

Best Cruz map:

263: Cruz/Giuliani

I think this the ideal map for Cruz/Kasich. I say Cruz wins whites 60-37 and black turnout is down a bit + millenials. I don't think the black share of the vote being at 15% in OH is going to happen in 2016.

[henster]

Cruz's path runs through the Midwest, if he sticks Kasich on the ticket he could make a credible play for the region. If we saw like what we say last night where Rs turned out in greater numbers than Ds and that correlated with the WI-SC race then I believe Cruz has a shot.