South Africa 2014

[Kosmos]

Interesting chart, PASOK. It seems as if the crime rate peaked in the 1990s and that it was that period that gave SA a bad name crime wise, a reputation that still sticks. Though of course the murder rate is still high today, but the reduction is noteworthy.

[Kosmos]

The DA's black support is still at modest levels probably, but much points to signifant change since 2009. I'm pretty sure it is well above 0,8% by now at least.

Take the recent by-elections for instance in the rural Eastern Cape wards. In two of the wards DA grew their share of the vote from less than 1% in 2011 to 24% and 14%. There is pretty much not a single minority living in that area.

These are not isolated incidents either. In 2013, DA registered similar increases in many other black-dominated wards throughout SA, and they even won a ward in Limpopo with a plurality of the vote.

The difficulty for DA might lie in managing to continue to grow while at the same time keeping its established supporters. Though a lack of alternatives is probably gonna keep most whites voting DA however much they may grumble at some issues like the party's recent acceptance of BEE, etc.

[Kosmos]

Thanks a lot for posting those figures for metros and provinces, Ag! Especially seeing the increaseas and decreases of each party, helps one greatly to form an opinion of the voter shifts in the election. It seems EFF did the most damage to the ANC, rather than DA.

But are you sure about Northern Cape numbers though? DA + ID in 2009 was about 17% if I recall correctly. That would be more than 6 percentage point growth.