Fight for Trump
Santander
Atlas Star
Posts: 28,064
Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61
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« on: March 10, 2016, 12:02:20 AM » |
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Dems will have a tough time getting even 50 seats and any more is highly unlikely. The elections will affect the Supreme Court confirmation process, not the other way around. Most of the vulnerable GOP Senators got elected as obstructionists - they have no incentive to do otherwise. Only Kirk would be hurt if he was seen as an obstructionist. If Trump is the nominee, enough Senators could break to give Obama his Supreme Court appointee anyway, though. Grassley isn't going anywhere.
A Dem hold in NV and gains in WI, IL, FL and NH is the most likely way to get to 50-50, but most of those will be very tough campaigns. 52-48 seems more likely to me.
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