But Atlas told me Kobach was inevitable if he won the primary and that KS trending D is fake news!
Several posters unironically believe Kobach couldn’t possibly lose the general election because of "polarization", "Senate race" and "presidential year", so this is hardly a straw man lol.
None of those arguments are that wrong tbh, Kobach is a bad candidate but he'd be favored if he's the nominee. The Republican base won't nominate a proven loser though.
No, they are ridiculously simplistic and in many cases wrong. "Polarization" (which on this site is generally used as a vague buzzword to "explain" why every Senate or gubernatorial race in a Republican-leaning state is supposedly Safe R) is hardly a recent phenomenon, and it certainly hasn’t stopped red state Democrats from doing well in Senate races, e.g. Kander, Tester, Manchin, Brown. Kobach is a far worse candidate than Blunt running in a more Democratic state, he could definitely lose that race.
I get that KS seems to be trending D, but I wouldn't say it's a more Democratic state than MO, at least not significantly.
That said, Kobach could very well lose. He's that awful.
