Those of us who are thinking this race is likely R, or going into the double digits has clearly been smoking that "Ds can never win TX" propaganda.
Maybe because no Democrat has gotten more than 44% in the state since Ann Richards lost more than 2 decades ago?
Not saying that Dems can never win in TX, or that it's impossible for O'Rourke to win this race; but you clearly can't fault people for being cautious about this election since quality polling hasn't shown a closer race.
Plus, it's not some "wacky Atlas users that have been smoking weird stuff" thing. Sabato and Cook also rate the race as Likely R.