What States Would Have Remained Swing States If Bush Had Won In '92

[RTX]

Since the realignment from the 1992 election, several swing/lean R states have become solid D, and likewise, some swing/lean D states have become solid R.

If Bush won and Clinton hadn't flipped some of these states into the D column, which would you predict would remain a battleground state the longest? I included 1976 instead of 1984 and 1980 due to the landslides in each of those elections.

Vermont
1992 - Clinton: 46.22%; Bush: 30.42%
1988 - Bush: 51.10%; Dukakis: 47.58%
1976 - Ford: 54.34%; Carter: 43.14%

Maine
1992 - Clinton: 38.77%; Bush: 30.39%
1988 - Bush: 55.34%; Dukakis: 43.88%
1976 - Ford: 48.91%; Carter: 48.07%

Connecticut
1992 - Clinton: 42.21%; Bush: 35.78%
1988 - Bush: 51.98%; Dukakis: 46.87%
1976 - Ford: 52.06%; Carter: 46.90%

New Jersey
1992 - Clinton: 42.95%; Bush: 40.58%
1988 - Bush: 56.24%; Dukakis: 42.60%
1976 - Ford: 50.08%; Carter: 47.92%

Illinois
1992 - Clinton: 48.58%; Bush: 34.34%
1988 - Bush: 50.69%; Dukakis: 48.60%
1976 - Ford: 50.10%; Carter: 48.13%

California
1992 - Clinton: 46.01%; Bush: 32.61%
1988 - Bush: 51.15%; Dukakis: 47.56%
1976 - Ford: 49.35%; Carter: 47.57%