Texas Megathread

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Given the recent poll, any predictions on a Cornyn vs. Rogers matchup? I'd say Cornyn 68% to 30%.

And...

1. Could Rogers pick up a significant number Tea Party supporters who like her strong Impeach Obama platform, along with anti-Cornyn backlash?

2. Will Cornyn pick up any large Democrat counties like El Paso, Dallas, Travis, or some of the Rio Grande Valley counties?

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When are the runoffs?

May 27

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Unrelated from the recent discussions, but does anyone have a reason why Jefferson County (SE Texas - Beaumont) is still a Democratic-leaning county? Demographic-wise, it seems it should favor Republicans, although not overwhelmingly so. Could it be an anomaly left over from the heavily Democratic South days?

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Unrelated from the recent discussions, but does anyone have a reason why Jefferson County (SE Texas - Beaumont) is still a battleground county? Demographic-wise, it seems it should favor Republicans, although not overwhelmingly so. Could it be an anomaly left over from the heavily Democratic South days?

IIRC it has a very significant black population and a large university.

I understand what you and Flo are saying, although Waller County, just NW of Harris, is home to the historically black Prairie View A&M, and has roughly similar demographics to Jefferson (if not more D leaning), yet voted ~58-41 for Romney vs. 50.3-48.7 for Obama in Jefferson County.