HuffPost on Dem targets in 2016: IL, WI, LA, NH, FL, GA, NC, PA, AZ, OH, IA, KY

[moderatevoter]

As I've said before here, this map is in theory good for Democrats, but there are a lot of variables at play here.

I think Democrats should win Illinois and Wisconsin without too much trouble, unless they majorly blow either race. I do not think Madigan is going to run, but IL Democrats do not need a top recruit to beat Kirk in a Presidential Year. Similar case in Wisconsin.

After that, things get murky.

Ayotte and Toomey, for example, both have tough races on their hands, but neither is dead on arrival. Their survival depends on a) the candidates Democrats recruit b) the environment (and performance at the top of the ticket) c) retirements and d) the individual campaigns.