Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,199
Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13
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« on: October 17, 2012, 06:08:54 PM » |
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Probably Wisconsin and New Hampshire. I think he is underestimating that state. It turned hard right in 2010 and he's been polling well there. It's also his "home state" and he spent a year there campaigning for the primaries.
Nevada normally polls close and then ends up a convincing win for the Democrats. It happened in 2008 and in 2010 when Reid beat Angle by 5% when polls showed them tied or her ahead. I also think Ohio is gone in the sense that he shouldn't spend a ton of money there. Romney just is not a good fit for Ohioans. If he wins Ohio I think he will have won the election anyway.
But I'm not sold on VA/CO being in his column. It might be possible he wins the popular vote and loses the electoral college.
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