What is happening in Pennsylvania? A trend, or back to normal?

[IceSpear]

Dems clearly have a higher ceiling and floor than the GOP does in PA. I can't remember the last time the GOP has won a statewide race by double digits (Specter in 2004?), but the Dems have a bunch of times. GOP wins tend to be narrow, as Toomey only won by <2 points twice and Trump by <1 point. Ironically, Corbett's 9 point in 2010 stands out as one of the best GOP performances.

[IceSpear]

We need to be careful about reading too much into this. Democrats did very, very well in the 2018 midterms in this state, but they also had popular Democratic incumbents and very weak Republican challengers. A few years down the road, I see this year being an exception to Pennsylvania's purple status.

At the very least, it should dampen that hot take which was going around about PA being more likely to vote for Trump than WI.

[IceSpear]

We need to be careful about reading too much into this. Democrats did very, very well in the 2018 midterms in this state, but they also had popular Democratic incumbents and very weak Republican challengers. A few years down the road, I see this year being an exception to Pennsylvania's purple status.

At the very least, it should dampen that hot take which was going around about PA being more likely to vote for Trump than WI.

A) People say that?

B) I'm curious as to what their rationale was.

Yeah, it got quite a lot of votes in this poll.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=278854.0