FL-GOV: Gillum + 1 (Mason-Dixon) (user search)
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  FL-GOV: Gillum + 1 (Mason-Dixon) (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-GOV: Gillum + 1 (Mason-Dixon)  (Read 3574 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: October 03, 2018, 01:25:23 AM »

The polls show this race tightening. As of now it's hard to say if it's just random noise, Gillum's post primary bounce deflating, the Kavanaugh stuff boosting the GOP, DeSantis's gaffes finally falling into the background, or some combination of the above. Time will tell I guess.

Anyway, I think Atlas overcorrected and went from underestimating Dem chances here to overestimating them, lol. Let's be honest with ourselves here. As bad as DeSantis is, the GOP is not going to just lay back and let a liberal black man become governor of Florida without a fight.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2018, 04:49:50 PM »

... Let's be honest with ourselves here. As bad as DeSantis is, the GOP is not going to just lay back and let a liberal black man Democratbecome governor of Florida without a fight.

Why are you quoting a liberal Democrat RINO tyrant who caused massive bloodshed across the Motherland in your sig?
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2018, 05:09:57 PM »

The polls show this race tightening. As of now it's hard to say if it's just random noise, Gillum's post primary bounce deflating, the Kavanaugh stuff boosting the GOP, DeSantis's gaffes finally falling into the background, or some combination of the above. Time will tell I guess.

Anyway, I think Atlas overcorrected and went from underestimating Dem chances here to overestimating them, lol. Let's be honest with ourselves here. As bad as DeSantis is, the GOP is not going to just lay back and let a liberal black man become governor of Florida without a fight.
100% agreed. atlas has been acting as if gillium was already guaranteed a double digit landslide. its florida for crying out loud, its nearly always going to be close

Florida has only had two close statewide elections from 2000-2018. The two being Rick Scott's campaigns. Usually, Dems and Reps win FL with large margins.


Anyway, it really is Atlas to take 1 poll and treating it as gospel. Seriously, we have a multitude of polls and averages to work off of here, and now people are overanalyzing one poll that gives a lackluster result. That is appropriate for ND and house races, not for FL.

Who's treating it as gospel? The aggregate of polls has it tightening.
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