OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[IceSpear]

The media is going to err on the side of caution, but it seems unlikely O'Connor could make up this margin. It could very well pull it into true heartbreaker status depending on how many provisionals there are though.

[IceSpear]

A couple more nail biting wins like that in significant right leaning districts and Republicans will win themselves into a minority position of the House.

While it would have been nice to flip it, this is another massive over performance by Democrats.

Maybe - maybe not.

If this election had been held in the spring, O’Conner would have won.

If PA 18 had been held today I believe Saccone would have won.

Estes will win by a good margin in Kansas in November.  

This socialist tilt by a wing of your party is not going to be helpful to you in attracting up scale suburban Republicans.  You really need to ditch the socialists.

There maybe a Democrat Atlas red wave, but I do not fear it as much as I did yesterday.

Balderson did 9 points worse than Trump and 36 points worse than Tiberi. How is that reassuring to Republicans again?

[IceSpear]

Guys, this is definitely a loss. No doubt about it. The average voter doesn't keep track of partisan lean, historical elections in the district, or any of that stuff. They sit down to watch Fox and see ' (R) beats (D)'. That's pretty much it. : /

Yeah, because FOX News watchers are so winnable...

[IceSpear]

There is zero reason for O’Connor to concede, including zero reasons associated with the November race. Yes, Republicans and pseudoRepublicans, we get why you think it’s a marvelous idea.

(sane)

It's not like Balderson's margin is higher than the amount of votes that remain to be counted. The chances are very slim he'd be able to make up the difference, but there's no reason not to let the process play out.

[IceSpear]

https://twitter.com/midawson/status/1028016538476064770

Don't tell RINO Tom!

[IceSpear]

Recounts rarely change vote totals, so unlike with the counting of the remaining ballots, I don't think he should bother waiting for it.

On to November, I guess.

[IceSpear]

At least the crappy Green Party didn't end up being a spoiler again.