latest Betfair odds (user search)
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Author Topic: latest Betfair odds  (Read 60230 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: September 07, 2019, 05:44:09 PM »

I like how Biden, still polling way ahead nationally and in the early states, isn't even doing that much better than he was in 2015 at this point when he obviously wasn't even going to run, lol.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2019, 12:30:19 AM »

Four years ago today, Biden’s share price to win the 2016 nomination was slightly higher than his current price to win the 2020 nomination

lmao

In other words, the bettors are really, really bad at this.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2019, 02:24:41 PM »

I don't think Warren being considered the most likely to win the nomination is unreasonable, but she should not be at 50% while Biden is at 20%.

Biden should be way lower than 20% for sure. More like 4% if we're being realistic. He can't win literally anywhere outside of the Deep South.

Primaries are not winner take all. Theoretically he could lose every state outside the South (as long as he kept them somewhat close) while winning the South in a landslide and still be the nominee.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2019, 09:58:12 PM »

I like that Biden is getting concern trolled about the nonexistent prospect of a Hillary run. Great karma.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #4 on: February 23, 2020, 01:24:39 AM »

Quote
Up: Sanders, Bloomberg

Clearly Bloomberg continuing to accrue 0 delegates in state after state is splended news for his chances!
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2020, 03:02:05 PM »

It's pretty crazy Biden was ever so low. Not that I had clairvoyance and saw all this coming, but he was clearly always going to get at least a modest bounce from his SC win even if it was lackluster. Good money to be made there when he was in the single digits.
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