Midnight towns (NH) **results thread** (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 25, 2024, 10:21:43 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Midnight towns (NH) **results thread** (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Midnight towns (NH) **results thread**  (Read 8394 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: November 08, 2016, 01:33:57 AM »

Only on Atlas would you find people unironically extrapolating an election in a town with like 10 people to a nationwide election of over 100 million people.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2016, 01:39:29 AM »

Only on Atlas would you find people unironically extrapolating an election in a town with like 10 people to a nationwide election of over 100 million people.

Better than trusting polls. These are real results.

So I guess the polls that said Bill Clinton would win NH were less useful than him getting 4th place in Dixville Notch.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2016, 06:00:52 AM »

Looking at demographic data of Hart's Location

http://www.city-data.com/city/Hart-s-Location-New-Hampshire.html

where Trump got a positive swing from 2012

2012
Obama 23
Romney 9
Johnson 1

2016
Hillary 17
Trump 14
Johnson 3
Sanders 2
Kasich 1

We do have males 23 female 18 so the gender gap is in play for this Trump swing.    Average household income is $51K although it does not report medium income.  Trump seems to be doing well relative to 2012 for high income voters then.  50% of the town has college degrees of above. So so far the view that college educated whites will swing against Trump relative to 2012 does not seem to be true.  Trump seems to be gaining in college educated whites.  70% of the town is married.  We know the Trump might do relatively better for married voters and this does seem to bear out so far.

Bored?

Doubtful. Probably just...

Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 10 queries.