RAND National: Clinton +9 (user search)
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  RAND National: Clinton +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: RAND National: Clinton +9  (Read 4280 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: November 01, 2016, 03:43:00 PM »

Pre-Comey, too many undecideds, Johnson too high. Junk.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 03:47:33 PM »

Pre-Comey, too many undecideds, Johnson too high. Junk.

The poll includes 4-5 post-Comey days.

Not nearly enough when it starts at 10/20. Having too long of a field period is always bad.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2016, 04:55:14 PM »

I have to think this is just as much an outlier as that NC T+7 poll
As was said before, they were one of the best pollsters in 2012. I'll wait for election night to see wether I should panic or not.

"The only poll that matters is the one on election day?"

Jeez, Dems might be in bigger trouble than I thought if we're seeing this canard used here...
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2016, 09:58:06 PM »

I have to think this is just as much an outlier as that NC T+7 poll
As was said before, they were one of the best pollsters in 2012. I'll wait for election night to see wether I should panic or not.

"The only poll that matters is the one on election day?"

Jeez, Dems might be in bigger trouble than I thought if we're seeing this canard used here...
Stop.

Stop what? Are you still pretending the email stuff had no impact?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2016, 12:58:03 AM »

I have to think this is just as much an outlier as that NC T+7 poll
As was said before, they were one of the best pollsters in 2012. I'll wait for election night to see wether I should panic or not.

"The only poll that matters is the one on election day?"

Jeez, Dems might be in bigger trouble than I thought if we're seeing this canard used here...
Stop.

Stop what? Are you still pretending the email stuff had no impact?

They didn't.

The betting markets, poll aggregators, election models, and common sense all disagree.
Logged
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