New poll hype thread (user search)
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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 94811 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: August 31, 2016, 03:09:34 PM »

I received a letter in the mail, and they paid me $5 to participate in it. Tongue Maybe poll response rates would go up if more companies did this!

These were the only two non demographic questions, so it was pretty short and to the point:


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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2016, 03:36:56 PM »

Only somewhat favorable for McGinty?

I supported Sestak and am still a tad bitter over the PA Dem machine forcing him out. Tongue
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2016, 09:02:11 PM »


The last was Clinton +6... so a 6/8 point net slide? Probably a little extreme.

So is an 11 point slide for literally no reason, but that didn't stop the Washington Post...
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2016, 09:19:07 PM »


The last was Clinton +6... so a 6/8 point net slide? Probably a little extreme.

So is an 11 point slide for literally no reason, but that didn't stop the Washington Post...

There were methodological reasons for this too... so people just really need to calm the eff down. She was not up 12% and she's not up 1%. So chill.

Lest we also forget that MC can be extremely bouncy.

I don't care about that poll, it's clear junk. My point is they sometimes do not follow logic.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2016, 09:48:35 PM »

He's also recommending people watch MJ, do he expects Joe to react to the poll.

Again... which could mean anything lol

But MJ usually ignores polls that are good for Hillary and focuses on the best ones for Trump...

Yeah, Morning Joke has done this for years. He's the ultimate cherrypicker. If it was good news for Hillary, he would not agree to give it any airtime.

I'll guess a tie, but a Trump lead wouldn't surprise me either.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2016, 04:51:57 PM »

Keep in mind Marquette has been more gop friendly than the other pollsters

In past years Marquette has also been more reality-friendly than other pollsters.

Yep. I think their record is even better than Selzer at this point. If Trump is ahead, prepare to break out the adult diapers.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2016, 04:51:16 PM »

No more polls from NBC/Marist.  The ones on Thursday were the last ones. WTF?

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/795379695386759168

No worries, I'm sure Trafalgar and Gravis/Breitbart will pick up the slack.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2016, 06:39:10 PM »

Not sure why some of you guys are so optimistic. Siena had Trump +4 in FL, which we all know is bunk.
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