LOL. I'd be shocked if she won by less than 20. Look at the socioeconomic fundamentals of the district itself + the presidential primary results. If it's closer, then the emails and/or her chaotic end at the DNC made it happen.
You're probably right, but I'm sure at least some Hillary voters are pissed off at DWS for nearly ruining Our Glorious Queen's convention with her reverse Midas touch. I'd vote for Canova for this reason. But considering Hillary carried the district by nearly 40 points, that gives her quite a bit of room for error. Plus Bernie voters are less likely to vote in a low turnout Congressional primary, which just helps her even more.
Then again, I don't think this will really matter unless Trump wins. I have no doubt that DWS was offered some type of position in the Clinton administration in exchange for stepping down. DWS isn't exactly the type to fall on her sword gracefully without a price, considering she was going to call Obama a misogynistic anti-semite if he tried to get rid of her (which makes it pretty ironic she ended up getting forced out by a woman and a Jew.)