NM - BWD Global: Clinton +25

[IceSpear]

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This is pretty funny. Bernie doing best among conservatives and worst among liberals, but respectably among progressives. I wonder what makes Bernie supporters so much more inclined to identify as progressive rather than liberal. Is it in age thing?

[IceSpear]

unless I just happen to know every Sanders support in the state personally, this is junk. not going to be this lopside.

Let's not go down this route. "Everyone I know voted for Bernie!1!!" is how Reddit justifies their fraud accusations. If PA was based on who I knew, Bernie would've won by 50 points. His supporters are more vocal and also more likely to spread their opinion far and wide through technology.

That said, I do agree she's not winning by 25. I think it'll be similar to AZ.

[IceSpear]

NM was...quite a surprise considering how the rest of the night went. If you would've told me yesterday that she'd win SD, possibly win CA by double digits, win NJ by nearly 30, and keep MT within single digits, I'd have guessed NM was a 20+ point blowout.